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How many copies did Diplomacy is Not an Option sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 310k–503k
$2.6M–$6.9M after Steam's cut $4.6M–$10.6M before the cut
from 12k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Diplomacy is Not an Option out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Diplomacy is Not an Option's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.8M–6.9M
best case 18.7M (Cities: Skylines)
Games like Diplomacy is Not an Option

The middle of these games

≈ 1.8M–6.9M copies

≈ $26.2M–$140.0M after Steam's cut

from ~76k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Cities: Skylines at ≈ 14.2M–23.1M copies, ≈ $117.4M–$315.8M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 20k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 17k to 44k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on City Builder (6 of 8) and Simulation (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with City Builder + Simulation, priced around $30.
The era
The games you compared span 2012 to 2024, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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1.8x vs typical
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2015
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≈ 14.2M–23.1M
3.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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2024
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27k reviews
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1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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Victoria 3
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Age of Empires® III (2007)
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StrategyRTS

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