How much revenue did The Medium make?

$3.5M–$9.3M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Medium sell?

Q: How many copies did The Medium sell?

253k to 411k copies, based on its 10k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 253k–411k; $3.5M–$9.3M after Steam's cut $6.3M–$14.4M before the cut; from 10k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Medium out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Medium's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.8M–5.2M

best case 98.8M (Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege)

Games like The Medium

The middle of these games

≈ 3.8M–5.2M copies

≈ $20.4M–$70.3M after Steam's cut

from ~111k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is First-Person (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege at ≈ 75.3M–122.4M copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on First-Person (4 of 8) and Horror (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with FPS + Tactical, priced around $5. The breakout hits carry PvP + Multiplayer + Tactical; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: The games you compared span 2014 to 2020, and none of them shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Tom Clancy's Rainbow Six Siege 2015	Est. copies ≈ 75.3M–122.4M 14x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	1.5M reviews Very Positive	FPSPvP
Little Nightmares 2017	Est. copies ≈ 4.0M–6.5M SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $22.0M–$59.2M after Steam's cut $40.1M–$91.1M before the cut	$19.99	117k reviews Very Positive	HorrorAtmospheric
Muse Dash 2019	Est. copies ≈ 3.5M–5.7M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $2.9M–$7.8M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.0M before the cut	$2.99	122k reviews Very Positive	MusicRhythm
Slime Rancher 2017	Est. copies ≈ 5.4M–8.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $29.6M–$79.7M after Steam's cut $53.9M–$122.6M before the cut	$19.99	157k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	CuteExploration
Wallpaper Engine 2018	Est. copies ≈ 30.8M–50.0M 9.1x vs typical SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue $42.2M–$113.5M after Steam's cut $76.8M–$174.6M before the cut	$4.99	1.0M reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MatureUtilities
Alien: Isolation 2014	Est. copies ≈ 3.7M–6.1M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $41.0M–$110.1M after Steam's cut $74.5M–$169.4M before the cut	$39.99	66k reviews Very Positive	Horror Survival Horror
Half-Life: Alyx 2020	Est. copies ≈ 2.6M–4.2M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $43.0M–$115.5M after Steam's cut $78.1M–$177.7M before the cut	$59.99	105k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	VRFPS
OneShot 2016	Est. copies ≈ 2.7M–4.4M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $7.4M–$19.9M after Steam's cut $13.4M–$30.6M before the cut	$9.99	65k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Story RichPixel Graphics