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How many copies did Headbangers in Holiday Hell sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before the cut
from 67 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Headbangers in Holiday Hell out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Headbangers in Holiday Hell's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 112k–180k
best case 206k (Nordic Ashes: Survivors of Ragnarok)
Games like Headbangers in Holiday Hell

The middle of these games

≈ 112k–180k copies

≈ $503k–$697k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

3 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Nordic Ashes: Survivors of Ragnarok at ≈ 157k–255k copies, ≈ $431k–$1.2M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 244 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 34 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Action Roguelike (5 of 8) and Arena Shooter (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Action Roguelike + Bullet Hell, priced around $10.
The era
6 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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1.9x vs typical
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Boomer ShooterArcade

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