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How many copies did Agrou sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 70k–114k
$97k–$260k after Steam's cut $176k–$400k before the cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Agrou out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Agrou's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.0M–14.3M
best case 124.1M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)
Games like Agrou

The middle of these games

≈ 7.0M–14.3M copies

≈ $37.9M–$87.7M after Steam's cut

from ~218k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Card Game (2 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 94.5M–153.6M copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 55k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 21k to 86k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Card Game (2 of 8) and Deckbuilding (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter. The breakout hits carry Shooter + Battle Royale + FPS; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2009 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Bloons TD 6
2018
Est. copies
≈ 12.0M–19.5M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.1M–$124.0M after Steam's cut $83.8M–$190.7M before the cut
$13.99
394k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tower DefenseStrategy
Slay the Spire
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6.3M–10.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$43.1M–$116.0M after Steam's cut $78.4M–$178.5M before the cut
$24.99
218k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Factorio
2020
Est. copies
≈ 5.8M–9.4M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$55.8M–$150.2M after Steam's cut $101.5M–$231.0M before the cut
$35.00
234k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AutomationBase-Building
Plants vs. Zombies GOTY Edition
2009
Est. copies
≈ 9.8M–16.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.5M–$36.2M after Steam's cut $24.5M–$55.8M before the cut
$4.99
155k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Tower DefenseZombies
Totally Accurate Battle Simulator
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.9M–$56.2M after Steam's cut $38.0M–$86.5M before the cut
$19.99
153k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxSimulation
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS
2017
Est. copies
≈ 94.5M–153.6M
13x vs typical
SteamSpy 100M–200M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
2.7M reviews
Mixed
SurvivalShooter
Balatro
2024
Est. copies
≈ 4.9M–8.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$20.2M–$54.4M after Steam's cut $36.8M–$83.7M before the cut
$14.99
198k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Geometry Dash
2014
Est. copies
≈ 35.7M–58.0M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$49.0M–$131.7M after Steam's cut $89.1M–$202.7M before the cut
$4.99
638k reviews
Very Positive
DifficultMusic

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