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How big is Acolyte: Prologue?

Estimated owners
≈ 2k–3k
from 82 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Acolyte: Prologue out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Acolyte: Prologue's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 28k–48k
best case 1.1M (Milk inside a bag of milk inside a bag of milk)
Games like Acolyte: Prologue

The middle of these games

≈ 28k–48k copies

≈ $194k–$306k after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

6 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Milk inside a bag of milk inside a bag of milk at ≈ 850k–1.4M copies, ≈ $348k–$936k after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 234 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 165 to 621.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Visual Novel (6 of 8) and Interactive Fiction (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Interactive Fiction, priced around $7. The breakout hits carry Interactive Fiction + Pixel Graphics + Relaxing; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2022. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 20k–50k
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Visual NovelPhilosophical
Coffee Talk
2020
Est. copies
≈ 311k–505k
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.0M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.6M before the cut
$12.99
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ConversationPixel Graphics
Milk inside a bag of milk inside a bag of milk
2020
Est. copies
≈ 850k–1.4M
32x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$348k–$936k after Steam's cut $633k–$1.4M before the cut
$1.49
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
A Mortician's Tale
2017
Est. copies
≈ 49k–80k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$135k–$364k after Steam's cut $246k–$560k before the cut
$9.99
1k reviews
Mostly Positive
CasualIndie
Motesolo : No Girlfriend Since Birth
2021
Est. copies
≈ 27k–44k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$172k–$464k after Steam's cut $314k–$713k before the cut
$22.99
1k reviews
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AI Dungeon
2022
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
805 reviews
Mixed
Multiple EndingsNonlinear
My Lovely Daughter
2018
Est. copies
≈ 40k–65k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$164k–$440k after Steam's cut $298k–$677k before the cut
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Interactive FictionVisual Novel
The Confession
2020
Est. copies
≈ 25k–41k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$14k–$37k after Steam's cut $25k–$57k before the cut
$1.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
SimulationDark Humor

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