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How many copies did Paper Dolls 2 纸人贰 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 72k–117k
$396k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $721k–$1.6M before the cut
from 3k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Paper Dolls 2 纸人贰 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Paper Dolls 2 纸人贰's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.0M–5.8M
best case 12.1M (DOOM)
Games like Paper Dolls 2 纸人贰

The middle of these games

≈ 2.0M–5.8M copies

≈ $12.0M–$52.8M after Steam's cut

from ~59k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: DOOM at ≈ 9.2M–15.0M copies, ≈ $50.6M–$136.0M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on First-Person (5 of 8) and FPS (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with FPS + Gore, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2021, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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DOOM
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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$50.6M–$136.0M after Steam's cut $92.0M–$209.3M before the cut
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FPSGore
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≈ 1.9M–3.0M
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Sci-fiImmersive Sim
HuniePop
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≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$4.2M–$11.4M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.6M before the cut
$9.99
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NudityMature
Resident Evil Village
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$39.99
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Senren*Banka
2020
Est. copies
≈ 915k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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$8.8M–$23.7M after Steam's cut $16.0M–$36.4M before the cut
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Blood and Bacon
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$413k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $752k–$1.7M before the cut
$0.99
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Overwhelmingly Positive
GoreFunny
Outlast 2
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.2M–$32.7M after Steam's cut $22.1M–$50.3M before the cut
$19.99
64k reviews
Very Positive

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