How much revenue did Prey make?

$15.4M–$41.5M after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Prey sell?

Q: How many copies did Prey sell?

1.9M to 3.0M copies, based on its 54k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 1.9M–3.0M; $15.4M–$41.5M after Steam's cut $28.1M–$63.9M before the cut; from 54k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Prey out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Prey's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 243k–923k

best case 2.4M (The Planet Crafter)

Games like Prey

The middle of these games

≈ 243k–923k copies

≈ $3.1M–$18.2M after Steam's cut

from ~9k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

7 of your 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is FPS (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: The Planet Crafter at ≈ 1.8M–2.9M copies, ≈ $12.0M–$32.2M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 4k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 3k to 32k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on FPS (4 of 8) and Sci-fi (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Base-Building, priced around $24.
The era: The games you compared span 2013 to 2024, and 3 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
X4: Foundations 2018	Est. copies ≈ 911k–1.5M 3.5x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.5M–$33.7M after Steam's cut $22.8M–$51.8M before the cut	$49.99	30k reviews Mostly Positive	Space SimSimulation
System Shock® 2 (1999) 2013	Est. copies ≈ 190–308 too small to compare SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	3 reviews 3 user reviews	CyberpunkRPG
The Planet Crafter 2024	Est. copies ≈ 1.8M–2.9M 8.5x vs typical SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue $12.0M–$32.2M after Steam's cut $21.7M–$49.5M before the cut	$23.99	73k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Open World Survival CraftBase-Building
System Shock® 2 (1999) 2013	Est. copies ≈ 495k–805k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue Free	Free	8k reviews Very Positive	CyberpunkRPG
Star Trucker 2024	Est. copies ≈ 131k–213k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $901k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.7M before the cut	$24.99	5k reviews Mostly Positive	TransportationSpace Sim
System Shock 2023	Est. copies ≈ 320k–521k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.5M–$9.5M after Steam's cut $6.4M–$14.6M before the cut	$39.99	13k reviews Very Positive	ActionImmersive Sim
Void Bastards 2019	Est. copies ≈ 156k–254k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.3M–$5.3M before the cut	$29.99	5k reviews Very Positive	FPSAction Roguelike
Sins of a Solar Empire II 2024	Est. copies ≈ 214k–347k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $2.9M–$7.9M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.1M before the cut	$49.99	9k reviews Very Positive	SpaceStrategy