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How many copies did BOT.vinnik Chess: Combination Lessons sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$2k–$5k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before the cut
from 127 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left BOT.vinnik Chess: Combination Lessons out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including BOT.vinnik Chess: Combination Lessons's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.9M–13.6M
best case 16.6M (Lethal Company)
Games like BOT.vinnik Chess: Combination Lessons

The middle of these games

≈ 7.9M–13.6M copies

≈ $54.3M–$86.6M after Steam's cut

from ~221k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Lethal Company at ≈ 12.7M–20.6M copies, ≈ $34.8M–$93.5M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 24k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 837 to 55k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on First-Person (6 of 8) and Horror (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror + First-Person, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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too small to compare
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ChessTime Travel
DOOM
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$50.6M–$136.0M after Steam's cut $92.0M–$209.3M before the cut
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FPSGore
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2023
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≈ 12.7M–20.6M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
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Metro Exodus
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Post-apocalypticFPS
Subnautica
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≈ 11.5M–18.7M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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$95.0M–$255.4M after Steam's cut $172.7M–$393.0M before the cut
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Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Outlast
2013
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≈ 8.7M–14.2M
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$36.0M–$96.9M after Steam's cut $65.5M–$149.1M before the cut
$14.99
138k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorFirst-Person

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