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How big is SpermDash精疲力尽?

Estimated owners
≈ 3k–4k
from 102 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left SpermDash精疲力尽 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SpermDash精疲力尽's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.1M–4.8M
best case 12.4M (Human Fall Flat)
Games like SpermDash精疲力尽

The middle of these games

≈ 3.1M–4.8M copies

≈ $16.9M–$95.5M after Steam's cut

from ~114k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

6 of your 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Parkour (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Human Fall Flat at ≈ 9.4M–15.3M copies, ≈ $51.8M–$139.3M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 22k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1 to 77k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Parkour (3 of 8) and Platformer (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + Puzzle, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Human Fall Flat
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.4M–15.3M
2.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$51.8M–$139.3M after Steam's cut $94.2M–$214.2M before the cut
$19.99
226k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opFunny
Crab Game
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
151k reviews
Very Positive
Psychological HorrorMultiplayer
Gorilla Tag
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.7M–$31.4M after Steam's cut $21.2M–$48.2M before the cut
$19.99
86k reviews
Very Positive
BandRoll
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before the cut
$1.99
104 reviews
Very Positive
Early AccessRhythm
Marvel’s Spider-Man Remastered
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$57.9M–$155.7M after Steam's cut $105.3M–$239.5M before the cut
$59.99
142k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open WorldSuperhero
Ultimate Chicken Horse
2016
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.2M–$24.6M after Steam's cut $16.7M–$37.9M before the cut
$14.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MultiplayerParty
Sphere Game Epic
2021
Est. copies
≈ 620–1k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$169–$454 after Steam's cut $307–$699 before the cut
$0.99
25 reviews
Mostly Positive
3D PlatformerDifficult
Getting Over It with Bennett Foddy
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.8M–4.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$6.2M–$16.7M after Steam's cut $11.3M–$25.8M before the cut
$7.99
82k reviews
Very Positive

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.