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How many copies did Democracy 4 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 158k–257k
$1.3M–$3.5M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.4M before the cut
from 6k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Democracy 4 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Democracy 4's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.1M–2.0M
best case 6.1M (Crusader Kings II)
Games like Democracy 4

The middle of these games

≈ 1.1M–2.0M copies

≈ $13.2M–$16.5M after Steam's cut

from ~33k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Crusader Kings II at ≈ 4.7M–7.6M copies.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 19k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 17k to 20k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Simulation (7 of 8) and Grand Strategy (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Grand Strategy + Medieval.
The era
The games you compared span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Imperator: Rome
2019
Est. copies
≈ 774k–1.3M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.5M–$22.9M after Steam's cut $15.5M–$35.2M before the cut
$39.99
27k reviews
Mixed
StrategyGrand Strategy
Workers & Resources: Soviet Republic
2024
Est. copies
≈ 673k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.4M–$19.9M after Steam's cut $13.5M–$30.6M before the cut
$39.99
27k reviews
Very Positive
StrategySimulation
Victoria 3
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$20.8M–$55.9M after Steam's cut $37.8M–$86.0M before the cut
$49.99
61k reviews
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Grand StrategyEconomy
Tropico 6
2019
Est. copies
≈ 848k–1.4M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.3M–$25.1M after Steam's cut $17.0M–$38.6M before the cut
$39.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
City BuilderStrategy
Age of History II
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.5M–$6.7M after Steam's cut $4.5M–$10.3M before the cut
$5.99
50k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyHistorical
Against the Storm
2023
Est. copies
≈ 926k–1.5M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$7.6M–$20.5M after Steam's cut $13.9M–$31.6M before the cut
$29.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyCity Builder
Crusader Kings II
2012
Est. copies
≈ 4.7M–7.6M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
74k reviews
Very Positive
Grand StrategyStrategy
Victoria II
2010
Est. copies
≈ 1.3M–2.1M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$6.9M–$18.7M after Steam's cut $12.6M–$28.7M before the cut
$19.99
20k reviews
Very Positive
Grand StrategyStrategy

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