Sign in
wishvane

How many copies did Toad On Fire sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 149–242
$123–$330 after Steam's cut $223–$507 before the cut
from 6 reviews (6 user reviews)
Thin evidence: 6 reviews. That range swings on one or two people, so read it as a hint, not a measurement.

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Toad On Fire out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Toad On Fire's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 284k–863k
best case 11.4M (Risk of Rain 2)
Games like Toad On Fire

The middle of these games

≈ 284k–863k copies

≈ $3.4M–$5.4M after Steam's cut

from ~17k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Risk of Rain 2 at ≈ 8.7M–14.2M copies, ≈ $59.9M–$161.2M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 10k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1k to 103k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Action Roguelike (8 of 8) and Looter Shooter (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Third-Person Shooter + Action Roguelike, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Third-Person Shooter + Co-op + Action; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Crab Champions
2023
Est. copies
≈ 770k–1.3M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.8M–$8.7M before the cut
$9.99
31k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Early AccessAction Roguelike
Roboquest
2023
Est. copies
≈ 604k–981k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.2M after Steam's cut $7.5M–$17.2M before the cut
$24.99
24k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSAction Roguelike
Risk of Rain 2
2020
Est. copies
≈ 8.7M–14.2M
21x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$59.9M–$161.2M after Steam's cut $109.0M–$248.0M before the cut
$24.99
352k reviews
Very Positive
Third-Person ShooterAction Roguelike
10 Minutes Till Dawn
2022
Est. copies
≈ 102k–167k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
4k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Shoot 'Em UpAction Roguelike
Relic Hunters Zero: Remix
2015
Est. copies
≈ 330k–536k
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
7k reviews
Very Positive
Looter ShooterTwin Stick Shooter
Revita
2022
Est. copies
≈ 60k–98k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$282k–$757k after Steam's cut $512k–$1.2M before the cut
$16.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeTwin Stick Shooter
Magicraft
2024
Est. copies
≈ 416k–676k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.6M before the cut
$15.99
17k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-lite
Risk of Rain Returns
2023
Est. copies
≈ 712k–1.2M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.9M–$7.9M after Steam's cut $5.3M–$12.1M before the cut
$14.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeOnline Co-Op

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.