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How many copies did Evolution sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2k–3k
from 65 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Evolution out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Evolution's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 435k–844k
best case 7.3M (鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal)
Games like Evolution

The middle of these games

≈ 435k–844k copies

≈ $5.3M–$9.0M after Steam's cut

from ~19k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Open World (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: 鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal at ≈ 5.6M–9.1M copies, ≈ $30.6M–$82.3M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 6k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2k to 208k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (4 of 8) and Exploration (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Exploration + Fishing, priced around $23. The breakout hits carry Fishing + Lovecraftian + Adventure; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2018 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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$24.99
15k reviews
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ExplorationSandbox
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Open WorldDark Humor
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Base-BuildingTower Defense
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2018
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≈ 723k–1.2M
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Hack and SlashPixel Graphics
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ShooterSpace
DREDGE
2023
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≈ 1.4M–2.3M
2.9x vs typical
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$10.4M–$28.0M after Steam's cut $18.9M–$43.0M before the cut
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ExplorationFishing
ASKA
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≈ 300k–488k
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Early AccessOnline Co-Op
鬼谷八荒 Tale of Immortal
2023
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.1M
12x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$30.6M–$82.3M after Steam's cut $55.7M–$126.7M before the cut
$19.99
225k reviews
Mixed
ManagementSingleplayer

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.