How many copies did TheDawn sell?

213k to 346k copies, based on its 9k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

How much revenue did TheDawn make?

TheDawn is free to play, so there is no copy-sales revenue to estimate.

How big is TheDawn?

Estimated owners: ≈ 213k–346k; from 9k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left TheDawn out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including TheDawn's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–9.8M

best case 124.1M (PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS)

Games like TheDawn

The middle of these games

≈ 1.4M–9.8M copies

≈ $63.4M–$146.3M after Steam's cut

from ~156k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Survival (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS at ≈ 94.5M–153.6M copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 52k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 55 to 470k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Survival (4 of 8) and Battle Royale (3 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Survival + Shooter. The breakout hits carry PvP + Shooter + Battle Royale; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: The games you compared span 2017 to 2026, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Z1 Battle Royale 2018	Est. copies ≈ 6.2M–10.0M SteamSpy 10M–20M	Est. revenue Free	Free	202k reviews Mixed	SurvivalMassively Multiplayer
POLYGON 2020	Est. copies ≈ 917k–1.5M SteamSpy 1M–2M	Est. revenue Free	Free	37k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayFPS
PUBG: BATTLEGROUNDS 2017	Est. copies ≈ 94.5M–153.6M 18x vs typical SteamSpy 100M–200M	Est. revenue Free	Free	2.7M reviews Mixed	SurvivalShooter
World of Warships 2017	Est. copies ≈ 5.4M–8.7M SteamSpy 20M–50M	Est. revenue Free	Free	156k reviews Mostly Positive	Free to PlayNaval Combat
Palworld 2026	Est. copies ≈ 12.0M–19.4M 3.1x vs typical SteamSpy 50M–100M	Est. revenue $98.7M–$265.3M after Steam's cut $179.4M–$408.2M before the cut	$29.99	482k reviews Very Positive	Open WorldSurvival
CRSED: Cuisine Royale 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue Free	Free	39k reviews Mostly Positive	Battle RoyaleFree to Play
Risk of Rain 2 2020	Est. copies ≈ 8.7M–14.2M 2.3x vs typical SteamSpy 5M–10M	Est. revenue $59.9M–$161.2M after Steam's cut $109.0M–$248.0M before the cut	$24.99	352k reviews Very Positive	Third-Person ShooterAction Roguelike
Senren＊Banka 2020	Est. copies ≈ 915k–1.5M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $8.8M–$23.7M after Steam's cut $16.0M–$36.4M before the cut	$34.99	37k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Visual NovelNSFW