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How many copies did Guardians Frontline sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 9k–14k
$59k–$160k after Steam's cut $108k–$246k before the cut
from 349 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Guardians Frontline out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Guardians Frontline's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.5M–2.4M
best case 22.6M (No Man's Sky)
Games like Guardians Frontline

The middle of these games

≈ 1.5M–2.4M copies

≈ $9.4M–$21.5M after Steam's cut

from ~47k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Horror (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: No Man's Sky at ≈ 17.2M–28.0M copies, ≈ $284.5M–$764.9M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Horror (4 of 8) and First-Person (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + FPS, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Open World + Open World Survival Craft + Exploration; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SUPERHOT
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.7M–2.8M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.6M–$31.3M after Steam's cut $21.2M–$48.1M before the cut
$24.99
41k reviews
Very Positive
ActionFPS
Half-Life: Alyx
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.2M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$43.0M–$115.5M after Steam's cut $78.1M–$177.7M before the cut
$59.99
105k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
VRFPS
Inside the Backrooms
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.2M before the cut
$6.99
47k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorMultiplayer
Alien: Isolation
2014
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$41.0M–$110.1M after Steam's cut $74.5M–$169.4M before the cut
$39.99
66k reviews
Very Positive
No Man's Sky
2016
Est. copies
≈ 17.2M–28.0M
8.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$284.5M–$764.9M after Steam's cut $517.2M–$1176.7M before the cut
$59.99
415k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldOpen World Survival Craft
UNO
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.9M–3.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$5.1M–$13.8M after Steam's cut $9.3M–$21.2M before the cut
$9.99
54k reviews
Mostly Positive
Card GameMultiplayer
BONEWORKS
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.0M–1.7M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.7M–$23.3M after Steam's cut $15.7M–$35.8M before the cut
$29.99
36k reviews
Very Positive
VRPhysics
Subnautica
2018
Est. copies
≈ 11.5M–18.7M
8.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$95.0M–$255.4M after Steam's cut $172.7M–$393.0M before the cut
$29.99
379k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival

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