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How many copies did The Chameleon sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 5k–8k
$5k–$14k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before the cut
from 190 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Chameleon out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Chameleon's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.8M–7.1M
best case 55.9M (PAYDAY 2)
Games like The Chameleon

The middle of these games

≈ 5.8M–7.1M copies

≈ $54.2M–$78.8M after Steam's cut

from ~108k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

7 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: PAYDAY 2 at ≈ 42.6M–69.2M copies, ≈ $117.1M–$314.7M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Stealth (7 of 8) and Open World (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + FPS, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Co-op + FPS + Heist; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Shadow of the Tomb Raider: Definitive Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.4M–$79.0M after Steam's cut $53.4M–$121.5M before the cut
$39.99
88k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAction
Middle-earth™: Shadow of Mordor™
2014
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$29.8M–$80.2M after Steam's cut $54.2M–$123.4M before the cut
$19.99
97k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAction
HITMAN™
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
37k reviews
Very Positive
StealthAction
Batman™: Arkham Knight
2015
Est. copies
≈ 7.8M–12.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$42.7M–$114.8M after Steam's cut $77.7M–$176.7M before the cut
$19.99
159k reviews
Very Positive
ActionOpen World
METAL GEAR SOLID V: THE PHANTOM PAIN
2015
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$28.9M–$77.8M after Steam's cut $52.6M–$119.7M before the cut
$19.99
108k reviews
Very Positive
StealthOpen World
PAYDAY 2
2013
Est. copies
≈ 42.6M–69.2M
6.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$117.1M–$314.7M after Steam's cut $212.8M–$484.2M before the cut
$9.99
674k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opAction
Assassin's Creed® Origins
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$72.9M–$196.0M after Steam's cut $132.6M–$301.6M before the cut
$59.99
128k reviews
Very Positive
Open WorldAssassin
corpo/ghost
2024
Est. copies
≈ 149–242
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$614–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before the cut
$14.99
6 reviews
6 user reviews
ActionPuzzle

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