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How many copies did The Fermi Paradox sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 25k–40k
$130k–$349k after Steam's cut $236k–$536k before the cut
from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Fermi Paradox out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Fermi Paradox's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 104k–141k
best case 1.2M (Loop Hero)
Games like The Fermi Paradox

The middle of these games

≈ 104k–141k copies

≈ $777k–$1.3M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

7 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Loop Hero at ≈ 905k–1.5M copies, ≈ $3.7M–$10.0M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2 to 15k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Simulation (5 of 8) and Space (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Sandbox + Space, priced around $22. The breakout hits carry Physics + Destruction + Realistic; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2011 to 2026, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Universe Sandbox
2015
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.5M
10x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$12.9M–$34.7M after Steam's cut $23.5M–$53.4M before the cut
$29.99
32k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
SandboxSpace
Star Trek: Infinite
2023
Est. copies
≈ 87k–142k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$719k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before the cut
$29.99
4k reviews
Mixed
Loop Hero
2021
Est. copies
≈ 905k–1.5M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$10.0M after Steam's cut $6.8M–$15.4M before the cut
$14.99
37k reviews
Very Positive
TacticalRogue-like
Mars Horizon
2020
Est. copies
≈ 77k–125k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$422k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $766k–$1.7M before the cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
ManagementSpace
Dune: Imperium
2024
Est. copies
≈ 108k–175k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$681k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.8M before the cut
$22.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Board GameStrategy
Solar 2
2011
Est. copies
≈ 141k–229k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$387k–$1.0M after Steam's cut $704k–$1.6M before the cut
$9.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
SpaceIndie
Elon Simulator - Spend Like A Trillionaire
2023
Est. copies
≈ 223–363
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$61–$164 after Steam's cut $110–$252 before the cut
$0.99
9 reviews
9 user reviews
CapitalismFPS
Ostranauts
2026
Est. copies
≈ 80k–129k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$437k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $795k–$1.8M before the cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
Early AccessTop-Down

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