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How many copies did Shadow Gambit: The Cursed Crew sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 162k–263k
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.4M before the cut
from 7k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Shadow Gambit: The Cursed Crew out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shadow Gambit: The Cursed Crew's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7.8M–9.9M
best case 27.8M (Baldur's Gate 3)
Games like Shadow Gambit: The Cursed Crew

The middle of these games

≈ 7.8M–9.9M copies

≈ $85.3M–$122.9M after Steam's cut

from ~172k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Fantasy (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Baldur's Gate 3 at ≈ 21.2M–34.4M copies, ≈ $349.3M–$939.1M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Fantasy (3 of 8) and Character Customization (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Character Customization + Choices Matter, priced around $60. The breakout hits carry Choices Matter + Dungeons & Dragons + Character Customization; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2010 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

SCP: Secret Laboratory
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SteamSpy 5M–10M
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Total War: WARHAMMER II
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Est. copies
≈ 4.2M–6.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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$68.9M–$185.3M after Steam's cut $125.3M–$285.1M before the cut
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StrategyFantasy
Divinity: Original Sin 2 - Definitive Edition
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7.1M–11.5M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$87.4M–$235.0M after Steam's cut $158.9M–$361.6M before the cut
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Tactical RPGRPG
Slay the Spire
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6.3M–10.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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$43.1M–$116.0M after Steam's cut $78.4M–$178.5M before the cut
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218k reviews
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FOR HONOR™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.6M–9.2M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$46.5M–$125.0M after Steam's cut $84.5M–$192.3M before the cut
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Mixed
MedievalSwordplay
Darkest Dungeon®
2016
Est. copies
≈ 6.7M–10.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$46.2M–$124.2M after Steam's cut $84.0M–$191.0M before the cut
$24.99
162k reviews
Very Positive
Turn-Based CombatDark Fantasy
Baldur's Gate 3
2023
Est. copies
≈ 21.2M–34.4M
5.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$349.3M–$939.1M after Steam's cut $635.1M–$1444.8M before the cut
$59.99
854k reviews
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Mount & Blade: Warband
2010
Est. copies
≈ 10.9M–17.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$59.7M–$160.6M after Steam's cut $108.6M–$247.1M before the cut
$19.99
172k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MedievalRPG

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