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How many copies did Grand Theft Auto III – The Definitive Edition sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 186k–303k
$3.1M–$8.3M after Steam's cut $5.6M–$12.7M before the cut
from 8k reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Grand Theft Auto III – The Definitive Edition out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Grand Theft Auto III – The Definitive Edition's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 116k–514k
best case 691k (Red Dead Redemption)
Games like Grand Theft Auto III – The Definitive Edition

The middle of these games

≈ 116k–514k copies

≈ $1.6M–$11.7M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

6 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Red Dead Redemption at ≈ 526k–855k copies, ≈ $7.2M–$19.5M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 685 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 14 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Action-Adventure (8 of 8) and Third-Person Shooter (8 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Western, priced around $50.
The era
Only 2 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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≈ 228k–371k
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ActionOpen World
Destroy All Humans! 2 - Reprobed
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Third-Person ShooterAliens
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too small to compare
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SingleplayerVillain Protagonist
Outcast - A New Beginning
2024
Est. copies
≈ 43k–69k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
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$467k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $850k–$1.9M before the cut
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ActionOpen World
RESEQUENCED
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
too small to compare
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before the cut
$4.99
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Female ProtagonistExploration
Red Dead Redemption
2024
Est. copies
≈ 526k–855k
3.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
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$7.2M–$19.5M after Steam's cut $13.2M–$29.9M before the cut
$49.99
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Ratchet & Clank: Rift Apart
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Est. copies
≈ 446k–725k
2.6x vs typical
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$7.4M–$19.8M after Steam's cut $13.4M–$30.5M before the cut
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Adventure3D Platformer
Saints Row®: The Third™ Remastered
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Est. copies
≈ 116k–189k
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Est. revenue
$957k–$2.6M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$4.0M before the cut
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ActionAdventure

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