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How many copies did Project MIKHAIL: A Muv-Luv War Story sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 19k–30k
$102k–$273k after Steam's cut $185k–$421k before the cut
from 746 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Project MIKHAIL: A Muv-Luv War Story out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Project MIKHAIL: A Muv-Luv War Story's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5.3M–6.8M
best case 14.3M (Mount & Blade: Warband)
Games like Project MIKHAIL: A Muv-Luv War Story

The middle of these games

≈ 5.3M–6.8M copies

≈ $74.7M–$103.6M after Steam's cut

from ~151k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

6 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Mount & Blade: Warband at ≈ 10.9M–17.7M copies, ≈ $59.7M–$160.6M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 14k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 4 to 47k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Hack and Slash (5 of 8) and Spectacle fighter (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Medieval + Open World, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2010 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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2019
Est. copies
≈ 4.9M–7.9M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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$40.3M–$108.3M after Steam's cut $73.3M–$166.7M before the cut
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ActionHack and Slash
METAL GEAR RISING: REVENGEANCE
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≈ 5.0M–8.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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Great SoundtrackHack and Slash
NieR:Automata™
2017
Est. copies
≈ 5.3M–8.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$57.9M–$155.7M after Steam's cut $105.3M–$239.5M before the cut
$39.99
153k reviews
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Great SoundtrackStory Rich
Medieval Arms
2021
Est. copies
≈ 397–645
too small to compare
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before the cut
$14.99
16 reviews
Mixed
Team-BasedMedieval
Mount & Blade: Warband
2010
Est. copies
≈ 10.9M–17.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$59.7M–$160.6M after Steam's cut $108.6M–$247.1M before the cut
$19.99
172k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
MedievalRPG
Granblue Fantasy: Relink
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.4M–2.2M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$15.2M–$40.7M after Steam's cut $27.6M–$62.7M before the cut
$39.99
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Very Positive
AnimeJRPG
AMID THE LINES
2021
Est. copies
≈ 198–322
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$381–$1k after Steam's cut $692–$2k before the cut
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8 reviews
8 user reviews
Spectacle fighterSouls-like
Hell Let Loose
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.0M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$51.0M–$137.1M after Steam's cut $92.7M–$210.9M before the cut
$49.99
150k reviews
Very Positive
ShooterRealistic

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