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How many copies did Heading Out sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 17k–28k
$96k–$257k after Steam's cut $174k–$395k before the cut
from 701 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Heading Out out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Heading Out's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9k–17k
best case 141k (StarVaders)
Games like Heading Out

The middle of these games

≈ 9k–17k copies

≈ $9k–$64k after Steam's cut

from ~358 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

1 of your 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: StarVaders at ≈ 108k–175k copies, ≈ $741k–$2.0M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 229 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 78 to 2k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Rogue-lite (6 of 8) and Visual Novel (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Roguelike Deckbuilder + Deckbuilding, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Roguelike Deckbuilder + Deckbuilding + Card Game; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
5 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. You'd be launching into a busy stretch.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
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1.7x vs typical
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StarVaders
2025
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12x vs typical
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$39k–$104k after Steam's cut $71k–$161k before the cut
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570 reviews
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Achievement Smiles
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too small to compare
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