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How many copies did Asteroid Five sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 347–564
$571–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$2k before the cut
from 14 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Asteroid Five out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Asteroid Five's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 138k–206k
best case 3.5M (Outer Wilds)
Games like Asteroid Five

The middle of these games

≈ 138k–206k copies

≈ $1.1M–$1.3M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Outer Wilds at ≈ 2.6M–4.3M copies, ≈ $18.2M–$48.9M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 722 to 5k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Space (7 of 8) and Exploration (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Space + Story Rich, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Story Rich + Atmospheric + Great Soundtrack; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Outer Wilds
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
27x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.2M–$48.9M after Steam's cut $33.1M–$75.3M before the cut
$24.99
107k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationSpace
Exo One
2021
Est. copies
≈ 131k–212k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$610k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before the cut
$16.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericExploration
Tacoma
2017
Est. copies
≈ 165k–269k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$909k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.8M before the cut
$19.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Deliver Us The Moon
2019
Est. copies
≈ 275k–447k
2.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.1M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.8M before the cut
$24.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureIndie
Lifeless Planet Premier Edition
2014
Est. copies
≈ 203k–330k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$558k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.3M before the cut
$9.99
4k reviews
Mostly Positive
AtmosphericSci-fi
Fort Solis
2023
Est. copies
≈ 104k–169k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$716k–$1.9M after Steam's cut $1.3M–$3.0M before the cut
$24.99
4k reviews
Mixed
Walking SimulatorCinematic
Moons of Madness
2019
Est. copies
≈ 84k–137k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$580k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before the cut
$24.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureHorror
The Solus Project
2016
Est. copies
≈ 109k–177k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$600k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before the cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive
SurvivalAdventure

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