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How many copies did Cold Start: The Callisto sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 521–846
$2k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$7k before the cut
from 21 reviews (Mixed)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Cold Start: The Callisto out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cold Start: The Callisto's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–5k
best case 19k (The 7th Guest VR)
Games like Cold Start: The Callisto

The middle of these games

≈ 2k–5k copies

≈ $11k–$20k after Steam's cut

from ~97 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

None of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: The 7th Guest VR at ≈ 14k–23k copies, ≈ $79k–$212k after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 43 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 8 to 142.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on VR (7 of 8) and Puzzle (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with VR + Puzzle, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Gothic + Dark Fantasy + Mystery; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The 7th Guest VR
2023
Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
6.0x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$79k–$212k after Steam's cut $144k–$327k before the cut
$19.99
579 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureVR
The Secret of Retropolis
2021
Est. copies
≈ 5k–8k
1.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$13k–$35k after Steam's cut $23k–$53k before the cut
$9.99
189 reviews
Very Positive
VRPoint & Click
Retropolis 2: Never Say Goodbye
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$9k–$24k after Steam's cut $16k–$37k before the cut
$24.99
53 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureVR
Descending I - House of Nightmares
2021
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$14k before the cut
$9.99
50 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureVR
Ionia
2021
Est. copies
≈ 2k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before the cut
$8.99
97 reviews
Mixed
CasualVR
流言侦探
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$8k–$21k after Steam's cut $14k–$33k before the cut
$9.99
117 reviews
Very Positive
IndieWord Game
The Assembly
2016
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$58k–$155k after Steam's cut $105k–$238k before the cut
$29.99
168 reviews
Mostly Positive
AdventureIndie
Shores of Loci
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$16k after Steam's cut $11k–$25k before the cut
$14.99
58 reviews
Very Positive
CasualPuzzle

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