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How many copies did Cynthia: Hidden in the Moonshadow sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 4k–7k
$16k–$42k after Steam's cut $29k–$65k before the cut
from 165 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Cynthia: Hidden in the Moonshadow out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cynthia: Hidden in the Moonshadow's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 4.5M–7.5M
best case 22.3M (Tomb Raider Game of the Year)
Games like Cynthia: Hidden in the Moonshadow

The middle of these games

≈ 4.5M–7.5M copies

≈ $74.7M–$157.0M after Steam's cut

from ~155k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Tomb Raider Game of the Year at ≈ 17.0M–27.6M copies, ≈ $93.5M–$251.3M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 27k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 14k to 69k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Open World (6 of 8) and Story Rich (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Female Protagonist + Third Person, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Third-Person Shooter + Multiplayer + Female Protagonist; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2013 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 2M–5M
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SteamSpy 2M–5M
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Horizon Zero Dawn™ Complete Edition
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≈ 4.4M–7.2M
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Rise of the Tomb Raider™
2016
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≈ 6.5M–10.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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Assassin's Creed® Odyssey
2018
Est. copies
≈ 5.7M–9.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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$59.99
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2013
Est. copies
≈ 17.0M–27.6M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
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$93.5M–$251.3M after Steam's cut $169.9M–$386.6M before the cut
$19.99
269k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
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