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How many copies did Gunner, HEAT, PC! sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 201k–327k
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.9M before the cut
from 8k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Gunner, HEAT, PC! out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Gunner, HEAT, PC!'s, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 328k–2.3M
best case 27.2M (The Forest)
Games like Gunner, HEAT, PC!

The middle of these games

≈ 328k–2.3M copies

≈ $2.6M–$54.1M after Steam's cut

from ~13k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.7M–33.6M copies, ≈ $113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 10k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 6k to 47k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on War (5 of 8) and Building (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2025, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Beyond The Wire
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FPSWar
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≈ 201k–326k
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Vehicular Combat4X
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2025
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≈ 266k–433k
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$1.5M–$3.9M after Steam's cut $2.7M–$6.1M before the cut
$19.99
11k reviews
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Early AccessOpen World Survival Craft
Trailmakers
2019
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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$7.7M–$20.6M after Steam's cut $13.9M–$31.6M before the cut
$24.99
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SpaceAction
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2021
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≈ 3.7M–6.0M
11x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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$51.0M–$137.1M after Steam's cut $92.7M–$210.9M before the cut
$49.99
150k reviews
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ShooterRealistic
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.7M–33.6M
51x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut $206.9M–$470.7M before the cut
$19.99
681k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
WARNO
2024
Est. copies
≈ 397k–645k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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$4.4M–$11.7M after Steam's cut $7.9M–$18.1M before the cut
$39.99
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WargameMilitary

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