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How many copies did Astrea: Six-Sided Oracles sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 112k–182k
$769k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.2M before the cut
from 5k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Astrea: Six-Sided Oracles out and predicted the genre from its 4 similar games. Every figure here, including Astrea: Six-Sided Oracles's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 67k–206k
best case 446k (Dicey Dungeons)
Games like Astrea: Six-Sided Oracles

The middle of these games

≈ 67k–206k copies

≈ $229k–$1.1M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

3 of your 4 similar games are hits.

From a small set, so take it as a sketch.

Best case: Dicey Dungeons at ≈ 340k–553k copies, ≈ $1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 903 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 262 to 1k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Card Battler (3 of 4) and Deckbuilding (3 of 4).
The winners
Winners here lead with Roguelike Deckbuilder + Card Battler, priced around $15.
The era
2 of your 4 similar games shipped in the last two years, so this niche is actively shipping.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Circadian Dice
2022
Est. copies
≈ 15k–24k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$25k–$66k after Steam's cut $45k–$102k before the cut
$5.99
601 reviews
Very Positive
Dice & Fold
2024
Est. copies
≈ 96k–156k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$344k–$925k after Steam's cut $625k–$1.4M before the cut
$12.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Card BattlerDungeon Crawler
Slice & Dice
2024
Est. copies
≈ 64k–103k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$157k–$422k after Steam's cut $286k–$650k before the cut
$8.99
3k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Turn-Based StrategyRogue-like
Dicey Dungeons
2019
Est. copies
≈ 340k–553k
3.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.8M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.8M before the cut
$14.99
12k reviews
Very Positive
Roguelike DeckbuilderCard Battler

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.