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How many copies did Dice & Fold sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 96k–156k
$344k–$925k after Steam's cut $625k–$1.4M before the cut
from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Dice & Fold out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dice & Fold's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 103k–233k
best case 426k (Across the Obelisk)
Games like Dice & Fold

The middle of these games

≈ 103k–233k copies

≈ $871k–$2.1M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Across the Obelisk at ≈ 325k–527k copies, ≈ $1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1k to 6k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Card Battler (6 of 8) and Roguelike Deckbuilder (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Rogue-like + Fantasy, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2018 to 2025, and 3 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Across the Obelisk
2022
Est. copies
≈ 325k–527k
3.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.2M–$7.4M before the cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
Rogue-likeStrategy
Trials of Fire
2021
Est. copies
≈ 81k–131k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$444k–$1.2M after Steam's cut $808k–$1.8M before the cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
Card BattlerTurn-Based Tactics
Black Book
2021
Est. copies
≈ 167k–271k
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.7M before the cut
$24.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
Card BattlerTurn-Based Tactics
Knock on the Coffin Lid
2024
Est. copies
≈ 72k–117k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$496k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $901k–$2.1M before the cut
$24.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
FantasyDark Fantasy
HELLCARD
2024
Est. copies
≈ 116k–188k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$795k–$2.1M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.3M before the cut
$24.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
Backpack Hero
2023
Est. copies
≈ 211k–342k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.2M–$3.1M after Steam's cut $2.1M–$4.8M before the cut
$19.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Replay ValueTurn-Based
LONESTAR
2025
Est. copies
≈ 60k–98k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$216k–$581k after Steam's cut $393k–$893k before the cut
$12.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Rogue-likeStrategy
Deep Sky Derelicts
2018
Est. copies
≈ 88k–142k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$482k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $876k–$2.0M before the cut
$19.99
3k reviews
Mostly Positive

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