How much revenue did Circadian Dice make?

$25k–$66k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Circadian Dice sell?

Q: How many copies did Circadian Dice sell?

15k to 24k copies, based on its 601 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 15k–24k; $25k–$66k after Steam's cut $45k–$102k before the cut; from 601 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Circadian Dice out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Circadian Dice's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 127k–138k

best case 746k (Monster Train)

Games like Circadian Dice

The middle of these games

≈ 127k–138k copies

≈ $763k–$1.2M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Monster Train at ≈ 569k–924k copies, ≈ $3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1k to 6k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Roguelike Deckbuilder (7 of 8) and Card Game (6 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Card Battler + Rogue-lite, priced around $22. The breakout hits carry Card Battler + Rogue-lite + PvP; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: Only 2 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Monster Train 2020	Est. copies ≈ 569k–924k 5.8x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $3.9M–$10.5M after Steam's cut $7.1M–$16.2M before the cut	$24.99	23k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Card BattlerRogue-lite
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