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How many copies did Tumblebugs sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$17k–$47k after Steam's cut $31k–$72k before the cut
from 127 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Tumblebugs out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tumblebugs's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2k–9k
best case 563k (Zuma Deluxe)
Games like Tumblebugs

The middle of these games

≈ 2k–9k copies

≈ $4k–$11k after Steam's cut

from ~93 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

2 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Zuma Deluxe at ≈ 429k–697k copies, ≈ $588k–$1.6M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 113 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 17 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Puzzle (8 of 8) and Match 3 (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Match 3 + Puzzle, priced around $12. The breakout hits carry Funny + Match 3 + Co-op; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2006 to 2025, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Zuma Deluxe
2006
Est. copies
≈ 429k–697k
73x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$588k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.4M before the cut
$4.99
7k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Match 3Puzzle
SuiCats
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$4k after Steam's cut $3k–$6k before the cut
$1.99
108 reviews
Very Positive
CasualArcade
Candy Blast
2016
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
2.1x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$11k–$30k after Steam's cut $20k–$46k before the cut
$4.99
195 reviews
Mixed
ClickerPuzzle
Atlantis: Pearls of the Deep
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$6k–$17k after Steam's cut $11k–$26k before the cut
$6.99
78 reviews
Very Positive
CasualIndie
Tiny Bubbles
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before the cut
$9.99
52 reviews
Very Positive
PuzzlePhysics
Fruit Salad
2023
Est. copies
≈ 8k–13k
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$4k–$12k after Steam's cut $8k–$18k before the cut
$1.99
318 reviews
Very Positive
Match 3Casual
POPUCOM
2025
Est. copies
≈ 105k–170k
45x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$575k–$1.5M after Steam's cut $1.0M–$2.4M before the cut
$19.99
4k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opAdventure
Elemental Realms
2024
Est. copies
≈ 843–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$925–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before the cut
$3.99
34 reviews
Positive
CasualStrategy

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