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How many copies did SGS NATO's Nightmare sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–5k
$28k–$76k after Steam's cut $52k–$117k before the cut
from 119 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left SGS NATO's Nightmare out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including SGS NATO's Nightmare's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 5k–17k
best case 163k (Twilight Struggle)
Games like SGS NATO's Nightmare

The middle of these games

≈ 5k–17k copies

≈ $26k–$128k after Steam's cut

from ~211 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

1 of your 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Twilight Struggle at ≈ 124k–201k copies, ≈ $340k–$915k after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 95 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 19 to 377.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Political Sim (6 of 8) and Turn-Based Strategy (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Board Game + Tabletop, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2025, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$28k–$74k after Steam's cut $50k–$114k before the cut
$29.99
135 reviews
Very Positive
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Twilight Struggle
2016
Est. copies
≈ 124k–201k
14x vs typical
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2024
Est. copies
≈ 11k–17k
2.0x vs typical
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Est. revenue
$49k–$133k after Steam's cut $90k–$205k before the cut
$16.99
427 reviews
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SimulationStrategy
World Empire 2027
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≈ 2k–3k
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Est. revenue
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SGS Taipings
2023
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
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$47k–$126k after Steam's cut $86k–$195k before the cut
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Est. copies
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SteamSpy under 20k
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≈ 19k–31k
3.6x vs typical
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$24.99
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Strategy4X

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