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How many copies did Melania sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 670–1k
$920–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before the cut
from 27 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Melania out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Melania's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 175k–260k
best case 835k (Contraband Police)
Games like Melania

The middle of these games

≈ 175k–260k copies

≈ $1.6M–$4.7M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

6 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Contraband Police at ≈ 636k–1.0M copies, ≈ $5.2M–$14.1M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 606 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1 to 4k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Simulation (7 of 8) and Immersive Sim (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Simulation, priced around $30.
The era
Only 2 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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too small to compare
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Contraband Police: Prologue
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Free
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Capcom Arcade Stadium
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Est. copies
≈ 78k–126k
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$427k–$1.1M after Steam's cut $777k–$1.8M before the cut
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SportsWrestling
PARANORMASIGHT: The Seven Mysteries of Honjo
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≈ 178k–290k
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Visual NovelAdventure
Contraband Police
2023
Est. copies
≈ 636k–1.0M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
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Open WorldSimulation
Sleep Simulator
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too small to compare
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2 reviews
2 user reviews
2D PlatformerStrategy

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