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How many copies did Dream Tactics sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 17k–28k
$85k–$228k after Steam's cut $154k–$350k before the cut
from 690 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Dream Tactics out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dream Tactics's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 693k–941k
best case 27.2M (The Forest)
Games like Dream Tactics

The middle of these games

≈ 693k–941k copies

≈ $2.7M–$5.6M after Steam's cut

from ~14k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Anime (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.7M–33.6M copies, ≈ $113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Anime (4 of 8) and Turn-Based (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Open World Survival Craft + Survival + Open World; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Valkyria Chronicles™
2014
Est. copies
≈ 744k–1.2M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.0M after Steam's cut $7.4M–$16.9M before the cut
$19.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
AnimeStrategy
The Legend of Heroes: Trails in the Sky
2014
Est. copies
≈ 581k–943k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before the cut
$19.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
Symphony of War: The Nephilim Saga
2022
Est. copies
≈ 366k–594k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$2.0M–$5.4M after Steam's cut $3.7M–$8.3M before the cut
$19.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
Tactical RPGRPG
The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.7M–33.6M
48x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut $206.9M–$470.7M before the cut
$19.99
681k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Garfield Kart
2015
Est. copies
≈ 690k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$947k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before the cut
$4.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Cult ClassicCombat Racing
Sakura Spirit
2014
Est. copies
≈ 383k–623k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.8M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.4M before the cut
$9.99
7k reviews
Mostly Positive
AnimeVisual Novel
TROUBLESHOOTER: Abandoned Children
2020
Est. copies
≈ 244k–396k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.9M before the cut
$24.99
10k reviews
Very Positive
CRPGTactical RPG
Valkyria Chronicles 4 Complete Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 215k–349k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.0M–$7.9M after Steam's cut $5.4M–$12.2M before the cut
$49.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
StrategyAnime

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