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How many copies did Dread X Collection 5 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 8k–12k
$21k–$57k after Steam's cut $38k–$87k before the cut
from 309 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Dread X Collection 5 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Dread X Collection 5's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.6M–4.3M
best case 5.3M (DAVE THE DIVER)
Games like Dread X Collection 5

The middle of these games

≈ 3.6M–4.3M copies

≈ $23.9M–$40.1M after Steam's cut

from ~103k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Your picks lean toward this genre's biggest survivors; the typical figure reads from its ordinary successes.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Dark (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: DAVE THE DIVER at ≈ 4.0M–6.5M copies, ≈ $22.0M–$59.2M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 14k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1k to 43k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Dark (3 of 8) and Story Rich (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Management + Exploration, priced around $25. The breakout hits carry Adventure + Singleplayer; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2016 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 52 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

INSIDE
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.1M–5.1M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.6M–$58.2M after Steam's cut $39.4M–$89.5M before the cut
$24.99
76k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2.5DPuzzle-Platformer
Green Hell
2019
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.7M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.5M–$60.4M after Steam's cut $40.9M–$92.9M before the cut
$27.99
101k reviews
Very Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Soundpad
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.9M–$13.2M after Steam's cut $8.9M–$20.3M before the cut
$4.99
104k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
UtilitiesAudio Production
DAVE THE DIVER
2023
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.0M–$59.2M after Steam's cut $40.0M–$91.0M before the cut
$19.99
161k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Pixel GraphicsCasual
Hellblade: Senua's Sacrifice
2017
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.7M–$58.3M after Steam's cut $39.5M–$89.8M before the cut
$29.99
76k reviews
Very Positive
AtmosphericPsychological
A Way Out
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.5M–4.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$21.0M–$56.4M after Steam's cut $38.2M–$86.8M before the cut
$29.99
103k reviews
Very Positive
Online Co-OpCo-op
Ori and the Will of the Wisps
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.6M–5.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.9M–$80.3M after Steam's cut $54.3M–$123.5M before the cut
$29.99
146k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
BeautifulMetroidvania
Poppy Playtime
2021
Est. copies
≈ 3.5M–5.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
142k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorFree to Play

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