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How many copies did The Cub sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 16k–26k
$67k–$179k after Steam's cut $121k–$276k before the cut
from 653 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Cub out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Cub's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 350–9k
best case 55k (Rusted Moss)
Games like The Cub

The middle of these games

≈ 350–9k copies

≈ $1k–$33k after Steam's cut

from ~41 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

1 of your 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Rusted Moss at ≈ 42k–68k copies, ≈ $231k–$622k after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
The games that made it here had under 511 reviews in their first month.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Precision Platformer (7 of 8) and 2D Platformer (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Platformer + Story Rich, priced around $20.
The era
Only 3 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Rusted Moss
2023
Est. copies
≈ 42k–68k
41x vs typical
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$231k–$622k after Steam's cut $421k–$958k before the cut
$19.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
PlatformerPixel Graphics
ChronoTecture: The Eprologue
2020
Est. copies
≈ 25–40
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$69–$182 after Steam's cut $125–$280 before the cut
$9.99
1 reviews
1 user reviews
ExplorationFPS
Hans
2023
Est. copies
≈ 20k–32k
19x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$27k–$73k after Steam's cut $49k–$112k before the cut
$4.99
795 reviews
Very Positive
Kandria
2023
Est. copies
≈ 3k–4k
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$15k–$40k after Steam's cut $27k–$61k before the cut
$19.99
109 reviews
Very Positive
2D PlatformerExploration
Gravity Castle
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1k–2k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before the cut
$14.99
49 reviews
Positive
2D PlatformerPuzzle
FlowerRock
2024
Est. copies
≈ 99–161
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$81–$219 after Steam's cut $148–$337 before the cut
$2.99
4 reviews
4 user reviews
2D PlatformerExploration
Tears Fall Low
2023
Est. copies
≈ 322–524
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$884–$2k after Steam's cut $2k–$4k before the cut
$9.99
13 reviews
Positive
Precision PlatformerSide Scroller
Cosmic Pebble
2024
Est. copies
≈ 818–1k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before the cut
$4.99
33 reviews
Positive
Precision PlatformerPixel Graphics

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.