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How many copies did WitchSpring R sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 203k–330k
$2.0M–$5.3M after Steam's cut $3.6M–$8.1M before the cut
from 8k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left WitchSpring R out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including WitchSpring R's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.8M–7.2M
best case 21.7M (Undertale)
Games like WitchSpring R

The middle of these games

≈ 3.8M–7.2M copies

≈ $27.7M–$48.0M after Steam's cut

from ~96k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Co-op (2 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Undertale at ≈ 16.5M–26.8M copies, ≈ $45.3M–$121.9M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Co-op (2 of 8) and Open World (2 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Choices Matter, priced around $10. The breakout hits carry Choices Matter + Multiple Endings + RPG; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2008 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Castle Crashers®
2012
Est. copies
≈ 8.9M–14.4M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$36.6M–$98.3M after Steam's cut $66.5M–$151.2M before the cut
$14.99
140k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
2DOnline Co-Op
Grounded
2022
Est. copies
≈ 2.4M–3.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$26.1M–$70.0M after Steam's cut $47.4M–$107.8M before the cut
$39.99
96k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalMultiplayer
Brotato
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$4.0M–$10.8M after Steam's cut $7.3M–$16.6M before the cut
$4.99
118k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Rogue-likeSingleplayer
NEKOPARA Vol. 1
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.5M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.2M–$11.3M after Steam's cut $7.7M–$17.5M before the cut
$9.99
27k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HentaiAnime
SPORE™
2008
Est. copies
≈ 4.6M–7.5M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$25.2M–$67.8M after Steam's cut $45.8M–$104.3M before the cut
$19.99
73k reviews
Very Positive
God GameOpen World
Undertale
2015
Est. copies
≈ 16.5M–26.8M
3.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$45.3M–$121.9M after Steam's cut $82.4M–$187.6M before the cut
$9.99
338k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Great SoundtrackStory Rich
To the Moon
2012
Est. copies
≈ 5.5M–8.9M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.0M–$40.3M after Steam's cut $27.3M–$62.0M before the cut
$9.99
86k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichGreat Soundtrack
Chinese Parents
2018
Est. copies
≈ 821k–1.3M
too small to compare
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.3M–$6.1M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.3M before the cut
$9.99
27k reviews
Very Positive

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