How much revenue did The Oregon Trail make?

$262k–$705k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did The Oregon Trail sell?

Q: How many copies did The Oregon Trail sell?

32k to 52k copies, based on its 1k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 32k–52k; $262k–$705k after Steam's cut $477k–$1.1M before the cut; from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left The Oregon Trail out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including The Oregon Trail's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 158k–408k

best case 1.6M (Kingdom Two Crowns)

Games like The Oregon Trail

The middle of these games

≈ 158k–408k copies

≈ $1.2M–$2.2M after Steam's cut

from ~7k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is City Builder (2 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Kingdom Two Crowns at ≈ 1.2M–1.9M copies, ≈ $6.6M–$17.7M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 809 to 4k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on City Builder (2 of 8) and Detective (2 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Tower Defense + City Builder, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Tower Defense + Minimalist + Building; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: The games you compared span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Steam Link 2015	Est. copies ≈ 360k–584k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	7k reviews Mostly Positive	Steam MachineSoftware
The World of Kungfu: Dragon and Eagle 2024	Est. copies ≈ 120k–195k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $595k–$1.6M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.5M before the cut	$17.99	5k reviews Mixed	RPGIndie
Clanfolk 2022	Est. copies ≈ 100k–163k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $826k–$2.2M after Steam's cut $1.5M–$3.4M before the cut	$29.99	4k reviews Very Positive	StrategySimulation
Kingdom Two Crowns 2018	Est. copies ≈ 1.2M–1.9M 5.3x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $6.6M–$17.7M after Steam's cut $12.0M–$27.2M before the cut	$19.99	39k reviews Very Positive	Tower DefenseMinimalist
Yes, Your Grace 2020	Est. copies ≈ 351k–570k 1.9x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.9M–$5.2M after Steam's cut $3.5M–$8.0M before the cut	$19.99	14k reviews Very Positive	Choices MatterIndie
The End Is Nigh 2017	Est. copies ≈ 120k–195k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $494k–$1.3M after Steam's cut $898k–$2.0M before the cut	$14.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Precision Platformer Platformer
The Rewinder 2021	Est. copies ≈ 183k–297k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $753k–$2.0M after Steam's cut $1.4M–$3.1M before the cut	$14.99	7k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	AdventureMystery
The Case of the Golden Idol 2022	Est. copies ≈ 271k–440k SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $1.3M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.4M–$5.5M before the cut	$17.99	11k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MysteryDetective