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How many copies did FlatOut 3: Chaos & Destruction sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 274k–446k
$3.0M–$8.1M after Steam's cut $5.5M–$12.5M before the cut
from 4k reviews (Overwhelmingly Negative)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left FlatOut 3: Chaos & Destruction out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including FlatOut 3: Chaos & Destruction's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 8k–640k
best case 5.0M (Need for Speed™ Heat)
Games like FlatOut 3: Chaos & Destruction

The middle of these games

≈ 8k–640k copies

≈ $176k–$1.7M after Steam's cut

from ~1k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

4 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Need for Speed™ Heat at ≈ 3.8M–6.2M copies, ≈ $73.1M–$196.5M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 53 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 53 to 4k.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Racing (8 of 8) and Combat Racing (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Racing + Open World, priced around $70.
The era
The games you compared span 2007 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

FlatOut
2007
Est. copies
≈ 420k–682k
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$865k–$2.3M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before the cut
$7.49
7k reviews
Very Positive
Combat RacingRacing
Garfield Kart
2015
Est. copies
≈ 690k–1.1M
9.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$947k–$2.5M after Steam's cut $1.7M–$3.9M before the cut
$4.99
14k reviews
Very Positive
Cult ClassicCombat Racing
FlatOut 4: Total Insanity
2017
Est. copies
≈ 80k–130k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$661k–$1.8M after Steam's cut $1.2M–$2.7M before the cut
$29.99
2k reviews
Mixed
RacingMultiplayer
Need for Speed™ Heat
2020
Est. copies
≈ 3.8M–6.2M
103x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$73.1M–$196.5M after Steam's cut $132.9M–$302.3M before the cut
$69.99
153k reviews
Very Positive
RacingOpen World
GENSOU Skydrift
2019
Est. copies
≈ 18k–29k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$120k–$321k after Steam's cut $217k–$494k before the cut
$23.99
629 reviews
Very Positive
Combat RacingRacing
Road Rage
2017
Est. copies
≈ 3k–5k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$8k–$23k after Steam's cut $15k–$35k before the cut
$9.99
89 reviews
Mostly Negative
ActionRacing
FAST & FURIOUS CROSSROADS
2020
Est. copies
≈ 4k–6k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
Free
Free
161 reviews
Mixed
ActionRacing
DreamWorks All-Star Kart Racing
2023
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$71k–$191k after Steam's cut $129k–$293k before the cut
$39.99
260 reviews
Mixed
RacingAction

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