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How many copies did River Raid 3D sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 149–242
$205–$549 after Steam's cut $372–$845 before the cut
from 6 reviews (6 user reviews)
Thin evidence: 6 reviews. That range swings on one or two people, so read it as a hint, not a measurement.

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left River Raid 3D out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including River Raid 3D's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3k–10k
best case 597k (Century: Age of Ashes)
Games like River Raid 3D

The middle of these games

≈ 3k–10k copies

≈ $8k–$36k after Steam's cut

from ~235 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

1 of your 8 similar games is a hit.

Best case: Century: Age of Ashes at ≈ 455k–739k copies. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
The games that made it here had under 9k reviews in their first month.
Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Spectacle fighter (6 of 8) and Flight (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Dragons + Team-Based. The breakout hits carry Free to Play + Multiplayer + Team-Based; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
None of the games you compared shipped in the last two years; the newest is from 2023. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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Hero ShooterSpectacle fighter
Century: Age of Ashes
2021
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78x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
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Free to PlayDragons
Witch Epoch
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≈ 471–766
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$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before the cut
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Hero ShooterSpectacle fighter
Elmarion: Dragon time
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Est. copies
≈ 14k–23k
2.4x vs typical
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$11k–$31k after Steam's cut $21k–$47k before the cut
$2.99
563 reviews
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DragonsFlight
SAVE THE UNICORN
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≈ 149–242
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Side ScrollerHero Shooter
illWill
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Boomer ShooterFPS
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ActionSpectacle fighter

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.