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How many copies did hololive ERROR sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 11k–18k
$30k–$81k after Steam's cut $55k–$124k before the cut
from 440 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left hololive ERROR out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including hololive ERROR's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 111k–226k
best case 5.3M (Little Nightmares)
Games like hololive ERROR

The middle of these games

≈ 111k–226k copies

≈ $266k–$2.5M after Steam's cut

from ~5k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Little Nightmares at ≈ 4.0M–6.5M copies, ≈ $22.0M–$59.2M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 518 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 196 to 22k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Horror (5 of 8) and First-Person (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Horror, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Horror; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2017 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Little Nightmares
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.5M
23x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$22.0M–$59.2M after Steam's cut $40.1M–$91.1M before the cut
$19.99
117k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorAtmospheric
Kao the Kangaroo: Round 2 (2003 re-release)
2019
Est. copies
≈ 229k–373k
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$125k–$337k after Steam's cut $228k–$519k before the cut
$1.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
Adventure3D Platformer
Hello Neighbor
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.8M
6.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$9.2M–$24.8M after Steam's cut $16.8M–$38.2M before the cut
$29.99
33k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorSandbox
In Sound Mind
2021
Est. copies
≈ 172k–280k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$1.7M–$4.5M after Steam's cut $3.0M–$6.9M before the cut
$34.99
7k reviews
Very Positive
September 7th
2023
Est. copies
≈ 75k–122k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$144k–$388k after Steam's cut $262k–$596k before the cut
$6.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
HorrorExploration
Shady Part of Me
2020
Est. copies
≈ 85k–138k
SteamSpy 50k–100k
Est. revenue
$350k–$941k after Steam's cut $637k–$1.4M before the cut
$14.99
3k reviews
Very Positive
IndiePuzzle
SpongeBob SquarePants: The Cosmic Shake
2023
Est. copies
≈ 123k–200k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.4M–$3.6M after Steam's cut $2.5M–$5.6M before the cut
$39.99
5k reviews
Very Positive
3D PlatformerFamily Friendly
Gorilla Tag
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2.1M–3.4M
17x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.7M–$31.4M after Steam's cut $21.2M–$48.2M before the cut
$19.99
86k reviews
Very Positive

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