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How many copies did Just a To the Moon Series Beach Episode sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 98k–160k
$216k–$581k after Steam's cut $393k–$894k before the cut
from 4k reviews (Overwhelmingly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Just a To the Moon Series Beach Episode out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Just a To the Moon Series Beach Episode's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 478k–2.2M
best case 4.5M (Persona 5 Royal)
Games like Just a To the Moon Series Beach Episode

The middle of these games

≈ 478k–2.2M copies

≈ $5.8M–$28.2M after Steam's cut

from ~29k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Persona 5 Royal at ≈ 3.4M–5.6M copies, ≈ $56.7M–$152.4M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 9k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2k to 19k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Story Rich (8 of 8) and JRPG (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with JRPG + Story Rich, priced around $60.
The era
Only 3 of your 8 similar games shipped in the last two years. That says more about your picks than about the market, so add newer similar games to read the timing.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate of about 31, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Persona 4 Golden
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.2M–3.5M
3.0x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$11.9M–$31.9M after Steam's cut $21.6M–$49.1M before the cut
$19.99
87k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
JRPGGreat Soundtrack
Persona 5 Royal
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.6M
4.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$56.7M–$152.4M after Steam's cut $103.0M–$234.4M before the cut
$59.99
139k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Impostor Factory
2021
Est. copies
≈ 319k–518k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$875k–$2.4M after Steam's cut $1.6M–$3.6M before the cut
$9.99
13k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichEmotional
Persona 3 Reload
2024
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.5M
2.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$25.6M–$68.8M after Steam's cut $46.5M–$105.9M before the cut
$59.99
63k reviews
Very Positive
JRPGRPG
Sea of Stars: Sunset Edition
2023
Est. copies
≈ 379k–617k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.7M–$9.8M after Steam's cut $6.6M–$15.1M before the cut
$34.99
15k reviews
Very Positive
Pixel GraphicsJRPG
Like a Dragon: Infinite Wealth
2024
Est. copies
≈ 592k–962k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$11.4M–$30.6M after Steam's cut $20.7M–$47.1M before the cut
$69.99
24k reviews
Very Positive
ActionJRPG
FINAL FANTASY XVI
2024
Est. copies
≈ 827k–1.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$11.4M–$30.6M after Steam's cut $20.7M–$47.0M before the cut
$49.99
33k reviews
Mostly Positive
Action RPGSpectacle fighter
OPUS: Echo of Starsong - Full Bloom Edition
2021
Est. copies
≈ 234k–381k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.6M–$4.3M after Steam's cut $2.9M–$6.7M before the cut
$24.99
9k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Visual NovelEmotional

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