How much revenue did Heretic's Fork make?

$280k–$753k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Heretic's Fork sell?

Q: How many copies did Heretic's Fork sell?

102k to 166k copies, based on its 4k Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 102k–166k; $280k–$753k after Steam's cut $509k–$1.2M before the cut; from 4k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Heretic's Fork out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Heretic's Fork's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 2.0M–4.5M

best case 6.4M (Balatro)

Games like Heretic's Fork

The middle of these games

≈ 2.0M–4.5M copies

≈ $11.8M–$28.8M after Steam's cut

from ~65k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

3 of your 8 similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Rogue-lite (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Balatro at ≈ 4.9M–8.0M copies, ≈ $20.2M–$54.4M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 7 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 1 to 21k.

Under about 100 in month one, almost nothing recovers.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Rogue-lite (4 of 8) and Tower Defense (4 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Card Game + Roguelike Deckbuilder, priced around $15.
The era: The games you compared span 2019 to 2025, and 3 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 36 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
WORLD OF ART JIGSAW PUZZLES 2020	Est. copies ≈ 4k–6k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $11k–$29k after Steam's cut $20k–$45k before the cut	$10.99	145 reviews Very Positive	PuzzleRelaxing
Minion Masters 2019	Est. copies ≈ 1.9M–3.1M SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue Free	Free	65k reviews Very Positive	PvETrading Card Game
ROUNDS 2021	Est. copies ≈ 1.1M–1.8M SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $1.8M–$4.9M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.5M before the cut	$5.99	44k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	MultiplayerFighting
Dungeon Rebound 2023	Est. copies ≈ 347–564 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $95–$254 after Steam's cut $172–$391 before the cut	$0.99	14 reviews Mostly Negative	Bullet Hell Rogue-lite
Emoji Shooter 2025	Est. copies ≈ 645–1k too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $1k–$3k after Steam's cut $2k–$5k before the cut	$6.99	26 reviews Positive	MemesStrategy
PLANTOONS 2024	Est. copies ≈ 198–322 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $108–$292 after Steam's cut $197–$449 before the cut	$1.99	8 reviews 8 user reviews	CasualTower Defense
Balatro 2024	Est. copies ≈ 4.9M–8.0M 3.0x vs typical SteamSpy 2M–5M	Est. revenue $20.2M–$54.4M after Steam's cut $36.8M–$83.7M before the cut	$14.99	198k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Card GameRoguelike Deckbuilder
Star Defence 2023	Est. copies ≈ 25–40 too small to compare SteamSpy under 20k	Est. revenue $7–$18 after Steam's cut $12–$28 before the cut	$0.99	1 reviews 1 user reviews	Tower DefenseReal Time Tactics