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How many copies did Xmas Apocalypse sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 3k–4k
$5k–$13k after Steam's cut $9k–$21k before the cut
from 104 reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Xmas Apocalypse out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Xmas Apocalypse's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 474k–946k
best case 4.9M (Enter the Gungeon)
Games like Xmas Apocalypse

The middle of these games

≈ 474k–946k copies

≈ $3.3M–$7.7M after Steam's cut

from ~20k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Enter the Gungeon at ≈ 3.7M–6.1M copies, ≈ $15.4M–$41.4M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 11k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 2k to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Action Roguelike (8 of 8) and Bullet Hell (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Bullet Hell + Action Roguelike, priced around $15. The breakout hits carry Dungeon Crawler + Local Co-Op + Pixel Graphics; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Nova Drift
2024
Est. copies
≈ 361k–587k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.8M–$4.8M after Steam's cut $3.3M–$7.4M before the cut
$17.99
15k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeArena Shooter
Nuclear Throne
2015
Est. copies
≈ 965k–1.6M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.2M–$8.6M after Steam's cut $5.8M–$13.2M before the cut
$11.99
20k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeRogue-like
Enter the Gungeon
2016
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
4.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.4M after Steam's cut $28.0M–$63.6M before the cut
$14.99
90k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Bullet HellAction Roguelike
Roboquest
2023
Est. copies
≈ 604k–981k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.1M–$11.2M after Steam's cut $7.5M–$17.2M before the cut
$24.99
24k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
FPSAction Roguelike
Voidigo
2023
Est. copies
≈ 121k–197k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$167k–$448k after Steam's cut $303k–$689k before the cut
$4.99
5k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Action RoguelikeTwin Stick Shooter
Returnal™
2023
Est. copies
≈ 273k–443k
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$4.5M–$12.1M after Steam's cut $8.2M–$18.6M before the cut
$59.99
11k reviews
Very Positive
ActionBullet Hell
20 Minutes Till Dawn
2023
Est. copies
≈ 720k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$989k–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.8M–$4.1M before the cut
$4.99
29k reviews
Very Positive
Action RoguelikeBullet Hell
Immortal Redneck
2017
Est. copies
≈ 115k–187k
too small to compare
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$630k–$1.7M after Steam's cut $1.1M–$2.6M before the cut
$19.95
3k reviews
Very Positive
Boomer ShooterFPS

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