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How many copies did Someday You'll Return: Director's Cut sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 7k–12k
$40k–$108k after Steam's cut $73k–$166k before the cut
from 294 reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Someday You'll Return: Director's Cut out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Someday You'll Return: Director's Cut's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.4M–2.3M
best case 3.5M (Outer Wilds)
Games like Someday You'll Return: Director's Cut

The middle of these games

≈ 1.4M–2.3M copies

≈ $5.8M–$17.8M after Steam's cut

from ~43k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Outer Wilds at ≈ 2.6M–4.3M copies, ≈ $18.2M–$48.9M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Story Rich (7 of 8) and Mystery (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Story Rich + Mystery, priced around $22. The breakout hits carry Exploration + Adventure + Atmospheric; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2012 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Firewatch
2016
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$22.7M–$61.1M after Steam's cut $41.3M–$93.9M before the cut
$19.99
99k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAtmospheric
Danganronpa: Trigger Happy Havoc
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.6M–2.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$8.8M–$23.5M after Steam's cut $15.9M–$36.2M before the cut
$19.99
38k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AnimeVisual Novel
What Remains of Edith Finch
2017
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–2.9M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$10.0M–$26.8M after Steam's cut $18.1M–$41.2M before the cut
$19.99
53k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Story RichAtmospheric
Return of the Obra Dinn
2018
Est. copies
≈ 1.1M–1.7M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$5.9M–$15.7M after Steam's cut $10.6M–$24.2M before the cut
$19.99
35k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectiveMystery
Inside the Backrooms
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$2.2M–$6.0M after Steam's cut $4.1M–$9.2M before the cut
$6.99
47k reviews
Mostly Positive
HorrorMultiplayer
Unheard - Voices of Crime
2019
Est. copies
≈ 976k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.9M–$5.0M after Steam's cut $3.4M–$7.8M before the cut
$6.99
34k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DetectivePuzzle
Outer Wilds
2020
Est. copies
≈ 2.6M–4.3M
2.5x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$18.2M–$48.9M after Steam's cut $33.1M–$75.3M before the cut
$24.99
107k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
ExplorationSpace
Alan Wake
2012
Est. copies
≈ 3.7M–6.1M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$15.4M–$41.4M after Steam's cut $28.0M–$63.7M before the cut
$14.99
59k reviews
Very Positive
ActionHorror

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