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How big is Locke(d)?

Estimated owners
≈ 28k–45k
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Locke(d) out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Locke(d)'s, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 7k–29k
best case 88k (Subsurface Circular)
Games like Locke(d)

The middle of these games

≈ 7k–29k copies

≈ $6k–$83k after Steam's cut

from ~218 reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

2 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Subsurface Circular at ≈ 67k–109k copies, ≈ $110k–$296k after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 142 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 26 to 290.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Story Rich (6 of 8) and Philosophical (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Visual Novel + Investigation, priced around $6.
The era
The games you compared span 2017 to 2025, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 43 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Subsurface Circular
2017
Est. copies
≈ 67k–109k
8.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$110k–$296k after Steam's cut $200k–$455k before the cut
$5.99
2k reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelInvestigation
Thing-in-Itself
2017
Est. copies
≈ 4k–7k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$3k–$8k after Steam's cut $5k–$12k before the cut
$2.49
126 reviews
Mostly Positive
EmotionalPhilosophical
Far from Noise
2017
Est. copies
≈ 7k–11k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$15k–$41k after Steam's cut $28k–$63k before the cut
$7.99
202 reviews
Very Positive
ConversationNarrative
Hitchhiker - A Mystery Game
2021
Est. copies
≈ 6k–9k
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$23k–$63k after Steam's cut $43k–$97k before the cut
$14.99
229 reviews
Mostly Positive
Story RichAtmospheric
Adios
2021
Est. copies
≈ 34k–54k
6.2x vs typical
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$166k–$446k after Steam's cut $302k–$686k before the cut
$17.99
1k reviews
Very Positive
MysteryThriller
DIVINATION
2019
Est. copies
≈ 6k–10k
SteamSpy 100k–200k
Est. revenue
$3k–$9k after Steam's cut $6k–$13k before the cut
$1.99
207 reviews
Very Positive
Visual NovelCyberpunk
Paws of Coal
2023
Est. copies
≈ 2k–3k
SteamSpy 20k–50k
Est. revenue
$3k–$7k after Steam's cut $5k–$11k before the cut
$4.99
76 reviews
Very Positive
AdventureDetective
Many Nights a Whisper
2025
Est. copies
≈ 18k–29k
3.4x vs typical
SteamSpy under 20k
Est. revenue
$15k–$40k after Steam's cut $27k–$62k before the cut
$2.99
731 reviews
Very Positive
CasualAdventure

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