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How many copies did Find The Murderer 3 sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 124–202
$102–$275 after Steam's cut $185–$423 before the cut
from 5 reviews (5 user reviews)
Thin evidence: 5 reviews. That range swings on one or two people, so read it as a hint, not a measurement.

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Find The Murderer 3 out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Find The Murderer 3's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 445k–6.0M
best case 5.8M (Stray)
Games like Find The Murderer 3

The middle of these games

≈ 445k–6.0M copies

≈ $4.8M–$74.7M after Steam's cut

from ~60k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: Stray at ≈ 4.4M–7.2M copies, ≈ $36.3M–$97.6M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 8k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 5k to 69k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Exploration (6 of 8) and Open World (5 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Cats + Cyberpunk, priced around $30.
The era
The games you compared span 2014 to 2023, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 70 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Rise of the Tomb Raider™
2016
Est. copies
≈ 6.5M–10.5M
2.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$53.2M–$143.0M after Steam's cut $96.7M–$220.1M before the cut
$29.99
155k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAction
Stray
2022
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$36.3M–$97.6M after Steam's cut $66.0M–$150.1M before the cut
$29.99
177k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
CatsAdventure
Fate Seeker II
2021
Est. copies
≈ 342k–556k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.1M–$5.7M after Steam's cut $3.9M–$8.8M before the cut
$22.60
14k reviews
Very Positive
RPGMartial Arts
Shadow of the Tomb Raider: Definitive Edition
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.7M–4.3M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$29.4M–$79.0M after Steam's cut $53.4M–$121.5M before the cut
$39.99
88k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureAction
The Talos Principle
2014
Est. copies
≈ 1.8M–3.0M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$15.3M–$41.0M after Steam's cut $27.7M–$63.1M before the cut
$29.99
33k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
PuzzlePhilosophical
AER Memories of Old
2017
Est. copies
≈ 265k–431k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$1.1M–$2.9M after Steam's cut $2.0M–$4.5M before the cut
$14.99
8k reviews
Very Positive
AdventureExploration
The Talos Principle 2
2023
Est. copies
≈ 331k–538k
SteamSpy 200k–500k
Est. revenue
$2.7M–$7.3M after Steam's cut $5.0M–$11.3M before the cut
$29.99
13k reviews
Very Positive
STAR WARS Jedi: Fallen Order™
2019
Est. copies
≈ 5.0M–8.2M
2.9x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$55.4M–$149.0M after Steam's cut $100.7M–$229.2M before the cut
$39.99
175k reviews
Very Positive
Action-AdventureSouls-like

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