How much revenue did Tokyo Waning Moon make?

$762–$2k after Steam's roughly 30% cut, derived from the copies estimate and its price.

How many copies did Tokyo Waning Moon sell?

Q: How many copies did Tokyo Waning Moon sell?

694 to 1k copies, based on its 28 Steam reviews. This is a labeled estimate from the review count, not exact sales.

Estimated copies sold: ≈ 694–1k; $762–$2k after Steam's cut $1k–$3k before the cut; from 28 reviews (Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Tokyo Waning Moon out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Tokyo Waning Moon's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 108k–132k

best case 336k (Bit Blaster XL)

Games like Tokyo Waning Moon

The middle of these games

≈ 108k–132k copies

≈ $303k–$586k after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

5 of your 8 similar games are hits.

Best case: Bit Blaster XL at ≈ 256k–416k copies, ≈ $70k–$187k after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here

About half the games that made it here had over 2k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 108 to 3k.

The genre you'd be entering

Your set: Your set clusters on Arcade (5 of 8) and Bullet Hell (5 of 8).
The winners: Winners here lead with Bullet Hell + Shoot 'Em Up, priced around $1. The breakout hits carry Shoot 'Em Up + Shooter + Difficult; a typical game here doesn't.
The era: The games you compared span 2011 to 2025, and 2 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.

How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

Game	Est. copies	Est. revenue	Price	Reviews	Tags
Gatekeeper 2025	Est. copies ≈ 82k–134k SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $339k–$911k after Steam's cut $616k–$1.4M before the cut	$14.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Early AccessOnline Co-Op
Orbt XL 2017	Est. copies ≈ 118k–192k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $32k–$86k after Steam's cut $58k–$133k before the cut	$0.99	3k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	ArcadeDifficult
Cargo Commander 2012	Est. copies ≈ 58k–95k too small to compare SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $80k–$216k after Steam's cut $146k–$332k before the cut	$4.99	925 reviews Very Positive	IndieProcedural Generation
AaaaaAAaaaAAAaaAAAAaAAAAA!!! for the Awesome 2011	Est. copies ≈ 69k–113k too small to compare SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $190k–$512k after Steam's cut $346k–$787k before the cut	$9.99	1k reviews Mostly Positive	FlightSports
Greedland 2025	Est. copies ≈ 83k–135k SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $297k–$797k after Steam's cut $539k–$1.2M before the cut	$12.99	3k reviews Very Positive	Rogue-lite Bullet Hell
Bit Blaster XL 2016	Est. copies ≈ 256k–416k 1.8x vs typical SteamSpy 500k–1M	Est. revenue $70k–$187k after Steam's cut $127k–$288k before the cut	$0.99	6k reviews Overwhelmingly Positive	Bullet HellShoot 'Em Up
Steredenn: Binary Stars 2015	Est. copies ≈ 47k–77k too small to compare SteamSpy 200k–500k	Est. revenue $169k–$454k after Steam's cut $307k–$698k before the cut	$12.99	968 reviews Very Positive	Shoot 'Em UpPixel Graphics
Super Bit Blaster XL 2020	Est. copies ≈ 22k–36k too small to compare SteamSpy 100k–200k	Est. revenue $18k–$49k after Steam's cut $33k–$75k before the cut	$2.99	886 reviews Very Positive	Bullet HellShoot 'Em Up