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How many copies did Incantation sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 29k–48k
$138k–$370k after Steam's cut $250k–$569k before the cut
from 1k reviews (Mostly Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Incantation out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Incantation's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 9.5M–15.5M
best case 27.2M (The Forest)
Games like Incantation

The middle of these games

≈ 9.5M–15.5M copies

≈ $61.3M–$167.7M after Steam's cut

from ~379k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

Best case: The Forest at ≈ 20.7M–33.6M copies, ≈ $113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 61k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 35k to 178k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Horror (7 of 8) and Co-op (6 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World Survival Craft + Survival, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2018 to 2025, and 3 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 38 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

The Forest
2018
Est. copies
≈ 20.7M–33.6M
1.8x vs typical
SteamSpy 20M–50M
Est. revenue
$113.8M–$305.9M after Steam's cut $206.9M–$470.7M before the cut
$19.99
681k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Lethal Company
2023
Est. copies
≈ 12.7M–20.6M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$34.8M–$93.5M after Steam's cut $63.2M–$143.9M before the cut
$9.99
511k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Online Co-OpHorror
Subnautica
2018
Est. copies
≈ 11.5M–18.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$95.0M–$255.4M after Steam's cut $172.7M–$393.0M before the cut
$29.99
379k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
Open World Survival CraftSurvival
Dying Light 2 Stay Human: Reloaded Edition
2022
Est. copies
≈ 5.4M–8.8M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$89.6M–$240.8M after Steam's cut $162.8M–$370.5M before the cut
$59.99
219k reviews
Mostly Positive
Open WorldCo-op
Deep Rock Galactic
2020
Est. copies
≈ 9.4M–15.3M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$77.6M–$208.6M after Steam's cut $141.1M–$321.0M before the cut
$29.99
379k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DwarfCo-op
R.E.P.O.
2025
Est. copies
≈ 10.4M–17.0M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$28.7M–$77.0M after Steam's cut $52.1M–$118.5M before the cut
$9.99
421k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
HorrorOnline Co-Op
Sons Of The Forest
2024
Est. copies
≈ 7.9M–12.8M
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$65.0M–$174.9M after Steam's cut $118.2M–$269.0M before the cut
$29.99
318k reviews
Very Positive
SurvivalOpen World
Content Warning
2024
Est. copies
≈ 4.0M–6.6M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$8.9M–$23.8M after Steam's cut $16.1M–$36.7M before the cut
$7.99
163k reviews
Very Positive
Online Co-OpHorror

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