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How many copies did Shadow Warrior sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 1.7M–2.7M
$13.9M–$37.4M after Steam's cut $25.3M–$57.6M before the cut
from 27k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Shadow Warrior out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Shadow Warrior's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 1.3M–4.6M
best case 12.1M (Sea of Thieves: 2026 Edition)
Games like Shadow Warrior

The middle of these games

≈ 1.3M–4.6M copies

≈ $20.7M–$51.5M after Steam's cut

from ~49k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Gore (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Sea of Thieves: 2026 Edition at ≈ 9.2M–15.0M copies, ≈ $101.6M–$273.1M after Steam's cut.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 16k reviews in their first month; the spread ran 10k to 21k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Gore (4 of 8) and Medieval (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Open World + Pirates, priced around $40.
The era
The games you compared span 2012 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

MORDHAU
2019
Est. copies
≈ 3.3M–5.3M
2.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$26.9M–$72.3M after Steam's cut $48.9M–$111.2M before the cut
$29.99
113k reviews
Mostly Positive
MedievalMultiplayer
Sea of Thieves: 2026 Edition
2020
Est. copies
≈ 9.2M–15.0M
7.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$101.6M–$273.1M after Steam's cut $184.7M–$420.1M before the cut
$39.99
372k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerOpen World
Chivalry 2
2022
Est. copies
≈ 1.5M–2.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.0M–$42.9M after Steam's cut $29.0M–$66.0M before the cut
$39.99
58k reviews
Mostly Positive
SwordplayMedieval
Chivalry: Medieval Warfare
2012
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.7M
SteamSpy 5M–10M
Est. revenue
$28.3M–$76.0M after Steam's cut $51.4M–$116.9M before the cut
$24.99
65k reviews
Very Positive
MedievalMultiplayer
Shadow Warrior 2
2016
Est. copies
≈ 1.2M–1.9M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$9.7M–$26.0M after Steam's cut $17.6M–$40.0M before the cut
$29.99
28k reviews
Very Positive
ActionGore
Conqueror's Blade
2019
Est. copies
≈ 859k–1.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
30k reviews
Mostly Positive
MedievalTactical
Bright Memory: Infinite
2021
Est. copies
≈ 988k–1.6M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$5.4M–$14.6M after Steam's cut $9.9M–$22.5M before the cut
$19.99
40k reviews
Very Positive
ActionFemale Protagonist
Blackwake
2020
Est. copies
≈ 646k–1.1M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
Free
Free
26k reviews
Very Positive
PiratesMultiplayer

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