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How many copies did Cabernet sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 57k–93k
$314k–$845k after Steam's cut $571k–$1.3M before the cut
from 2k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Cabernet out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Cabernet's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 109k–167k
best case 1.3M (Vampire: The Masquerade - Bloodlines)
Games like Cabernet

The middle of these games

≈ 109k–167k copies

≈ $598k–$1.8M after Steam's cut

from ~3k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Action-Adventure (3 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Vampire: The Masquerade - Bloodlines at ≈ 970k–1.6M copies, ≈ $5.3M–$14.3M after Steam's cut. A breakout hit, far above a typical game.

What it took to get here
About half the games that made it here had over 953 reviews in their first month; the spread ran 420 to 3k.
The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Action-Adventure (3 of 8) and Female Protagonist (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Vampire + Cult Classic, priced around $20. The breakout hits carry Cult Classic + Supernatural + Dark; a typical game here doesn't.
The era
The games you compared span 2007 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

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