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How many copies did Plague Inc: Evolved sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 2.7M–4.4M
$11.2M–$30.2M after Steam's cut $20.4M–$46.5M before the cut
from 66k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Plague Inc: Evolved out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Plague Inc: Evolved's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 110k–636k
best case 737k (60 Seconds! Reatomized)
Games like Plague Inc: Evolved

The middle of these games

≈ 110k–636k copies

≈ $558k–$2.7M after Steam's cut

from ~4k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Outbreak Sim (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: 60 Seconds! Reatomized at ≈ 561k–912k copies, ≈ $1.5M–$4.1M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Outbreak Sim (4 of 8) and Simulation (4 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Choose Your Own Adventure + Dark Humor, priced around $10.
The era
The games you compared span 2015 to 2024, and 1 of your 8 shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 61 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

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SteamSpy 100k–200k
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$14.99
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Tin Can
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SimulationSpace
Infection Free Zone
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Est. copies
≈ 459k–747k
5.1x vs typical
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Early AccessBase-Building
60 Parsecs!
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Est. copies
≈ 124k–202k
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$342k–$919k after Steam's cut $621k–$1.4M before the cut
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Turn-Based StrategyText-Based
Infectonator 3: Apocalypse
2018
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≈ 42k–67k
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$148k–$399k after Steam's cut $270k–$614k before the cut
$12.99
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Outbreak SimIndie
60 Seconds! Reatomized
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Est. copies
≈ 561k–912k
5.3x vs typical
SteamSpy 1M–2M
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2DChoose Your Own Adventure
60 Seconds!
2015
Est. copies
≈ 570k–927k
3.2x vs typical
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$8.99
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≈ 98k–158k
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$348k–$937k after Steam's cut $633k–$1.4M before the cut
$12.99
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Very Positive
Medical SimOutbreak Sim

Sizing up your own game? See what its genre can realistically do before you build it.