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How many copies did Munin sell?

Estimated copies sold
≈ 61k–99k
$84k–$225k after Steam's cut $152k–$347k before the cut
from 1k reviews (Very Positive)

A labeled estimate from the public review count (adjusted for release year), not exact sales. Owner data cross-checked with SteamSpy.

Does this actually work?

We left Munin out and predicted the genre from its 8 similar games. Every figure here, including Munin's, is estimated from Steam reviews, not self-reported sales.

Copies, estimated from reviews

typical (middle half) 3.1M–5.5M
best case 12.4M (Human Fall Flat)
Games like Munin

The middle of these games

≈ 3.1M–5.5M copies

≈ $18.2M–$46.6M after Steam's cut

from ~85k reviews

Only the top fifth of 2019’s Steam releases earned about $34k gross, so plan for that or less.

All 8 of your similar games are hits.

No genre covers most of your similar games. The closest is Platformer (4 of 8), so the genre you lead with is still undecided.

Of the 416 indie games that passed 1,000 reviews in 2022, 11.8% were novel genre mixes and 88.2% stuck to an established genre. Published indie market research.

Best case: Human Fall Flat at ≈ 9.4M–15.3M copies, ≈ $51.8M–$139.3M after Steam's cut.

The genre you'd be entering
Your set
Your set clusters on Platformer (4 of 8) and Co-op (3 of 8).
The winners
Winners here lead with Co-op + Puzzle, priced around $20.
The era
The games you compared span 2011 to 2022, and none of them shipped in the last two years.
How these numbers were worked out

A hit here: 1,000+ reviews, roughly $150k+ before Steam's cut (a standard indie benchmark).

Copies come from each game's reviews times a sales-per-review rate that falls with release age, from about 31 for the most recent game here to about 79 for the oldest, then widened into a range; revenue rides on that estimate times price. Source: GameDiscoverCo (2020) and VG Insights (2021).

Similar games

GRIS
2018
Est. copies
≈ 2.9M–4.8M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$12.1M–$32.4M after Steam's cut $21.9M–$49.9M before the cut
$14.99
96k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
BeautifulAtmospheric
PICO PARK
2021
Est. copies
≈ 742k–1.2M
SteamSpy 1M–2M
Est. revenue
$1.0M–$2.7M after Steam's cut $1.9M–$4.2M before the cut
$4.99
30k reviews
Very Positive
MultiplayerOnline Co-Op
FAR: Lone Sails
2018
Est. copies
≈ 802k–1.3M
SteamSpy 500k–1M
Est. revenue
$3.3M–$8.9M after Steam's cut $6.0M–$13.7M before the cut
$14.99
26k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
AtmosphericAdventure
Celeste
2018
Est. copies
≈ 4.4M–7.2M
1.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$24.5M–$65.8M after Steam's cut $44.5M–$101.2M before the cut
$19.99
146k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
BattleBlock Theater®
2014
Est. copies
≈ 4.1M–6.6M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$16.8M–$45.2M after Steam's cut $30.6M–$69.6M before the cut
$14.99
73k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
LIMBO
2011
Est. copies
≈ 3.9M–6.4M
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$13.4M–$36.1M after Steam's cut $24.4M–$55.6M before the cut
$12.49
62k reviews
Very Positive
Puzzle-PlatformerIndie
Teardown
2022
Est. copies
≈ 3.4M–5.5M
1.6x vs typical
SteamSpy 2M–5M
Est. revenue
$27.7M–$74.5M after Steam's cut $50.4M–$114.7M before the cut
$29.99
136k reviews
Overwhelmingly Positive
DestructionPhysics
Human Fall Flat
2016
Est. copies
≈ 9.4M–15.3M
2.7x vs typical
SteamSpy 10M–20M
Est. revenue
$51.8M–$139.3M after Steam's cut $94.2M–$214.2M before the cut
$19.99
226k reviews
Very Positive
Co-opFunny

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